--- title: "Delayed Open Source Publication:\\\\A Survey of Past and Current Practices" date: TBD Nov 2023 draft: true --- %% extends "report.ltx" \BLOCK{block preamble} \usepackage{longtable} \BLOCK{endblock} \BLOCK{block body} \begin{center} Seth Schoen, Karl Fogel, James Vasile \end{center} \renewcommand*{\contentsname}{} % Get rid of "Contents" from top of TOC \tableofcontents \addtocontents{toc}{\protect\thispagestyle{empty}} % no page numbers \setcounter{page}{1} \newpage \numberedsection{Executive Summary}\label{executive-summary} \otsfirstterm{Delayed Open Source Publication} (DOSP) is the practice of distributing or publicly deploying software under a proprietary license at first, then subsequently and in a planned fashion publishing that software's source code under an open source license.\footnote{Note that this definition deliberately does not include \foreignphrase{ad hoc} or improvisatory open source releases of formerly proprietary code. For example, the 1998 release of the Netscape Navigator source code, which through further development eventually became Mozilla Firefox, is \emph{not} an example of DOSP. This report is examines the history and effects of DOSP practiced as a conscious strategy; the effect of unplanned and unpredicted open source publication is also an interesting topic, but a separate one.} Software producers have practiced DOSP throughout the history of free and open source software.\footnote{We use the terms ``free software'' and ``open source software'' synonymously throughout this report.} However, surveying this phenomenon at a high level, from its beginnings through today, shows some clear trends: \emph{TBD: Everything below is tentative, draft, still a work-in-progress, etc. Feel free to read and comment, but please do not consider anything from this point on to reflect the settled opinions of the authors nor of any organizations.} \begin{itemize} \item The rise of the Business Source License (BUSL). Use of BUSL is really taking off. Deserves its own section --- see Section \ref{busl}. \item Delayed unconditional release. Planned OSS releases with just a pre-defined time delay. \item Delayed event-driven regular release. OSS publication happens regularly, but is driven each time by some regular event (e.g., the publication of the latest proprietary version, which prompts the previous version to now be open sourced). \item Delayed conditional release. "We'll publish this as open source as soon as we get funding" or "as soon as we find the right non-profit home for it", etc. Probably includes bounty mechanisms, but only if these were intended --- that is, not ``buy-outs". \emph{James thinks this is also not really DOSP in the same sense, although it's a category that quite a few people wrote in about.} \end{itemize} There are also post-hoc or unscheduled releases, where the authors didn't originally plan to release the software as open source but eventually decide to do so. These aren't technically in scope, but we should give some examples somewhere --- maybe in a footnote or appendix --- just to make it clear that it's something that happens. \numberedsection{Early History} For many years, Aladdin GhostScript implemented a DOSP policy whereby new versions were published under a proprietary license, and then regularly relicensed under the GNU GPL with a delay of one year. (It might be clearer to say that year-old versions were regularly republished under the GPL.) GhostScript author L. Peter Deutsch described this practice as providing commercial exclusivity that would help fund continued development of the project. Eventually, GhostScript adopted a simultaneous dual-licensing approach in which all releases were available under GPL and redistributors could choose to pay for a proprietary license exempting them from GPL obligations. % TODO This is about Artifex rather than Aladdin - the change happened % after the product was transferred to a new company! Attorney and author Lawrence Rosen, who discussed GhostScript's model in his book on open source licensing, told us that Artifex eventually concluded that the GPL was unpalatable enough to commercial embedded developers --- the entities that were typically already paying for proprietary licenses or that could be induced to pay for violations of GhostScript's copyright --- that the delay in making GhostScript available under the GPL did not significantly change these companies' incentives to pay for licenses. % Sorry for the super-long sentence. I'm sure we'll break that up somehow. % Rosen also says that sendmail may have had a dual license in the same % era or even before Ghostscript. I found references to sendmail having % a "traditional" dual license but so far have not found references to a % scheduled relicensing practice. Another important software project committed to a form of DOSP as a minimum guarantee. As part of the controversies surrounding adoption of the Qt library by the KDE project, various Qt copyright holders agreed to DOSP practices as a contractual backstop to ensure that future versions of Qt remain usable in free software. A series of contracts between Qt copyright holders and a KDE community nonprofit entity (the ``KDE Free Qt Foundation") include commitments to release future Qt versions under specific license terms with a ``within a timeframe of not more than 12 months" relative to any proprietary release.\footnote{See \otsurl{https://kde.org/community/whatiskde/kdefreeqtfoundation/}, which includes the exact language of the licensors' contractual commitments; a portion of the historical context is described in \otsurl{https://tinf2.vub.ac.be/$\sim$dvermeir/manual/KDE20Development-html/ch19lev1sec4.html}.} These rights to delay the application of the free software license have not % TODO - ever? to what extent? usually % TODO been exercised in practice; Qt versions have generally been promptly licensed under the required licenses. The possibility of a delay together with a specific timeframe represented a compromise between the Qt developers' and KDE developers' views of their respective interests. \numberedsection{Scheduled Relicensing}\label{scheduled} \subsection{Motivations}\label{motivations} DOSP is usually described as protecting commercial interests of a software developer by maintaining a window of time during which some users might be incentivized to pay for licenses that they might not need if the software were released as open source. % Fit into discussions about incentive/funding models We've also seen one-time delays for new projects whose developers state a concrete intention to convert those projects to an open source license. They may have non-economic reasons for those delays, such as shame about poor code quality, concern about security issues that may be apparent in unaudited source code, initial uncertainty about which license to choose, a need to procure permissions from other copyright holders, a desire to establish a community or governance structure, or a plan to incorporate a legal entity. They may initially publish source code with no license at all (which is not considered open source, because it does not grant users rights to modify and redistribute the code), or they may publish a binary-only demo version or versions. Although these scenarios involve an intent to publish something as open source in the future, they are also rather different from the cases we focus on here, for example with regard to whether the delay is \emph{desired} by the authors, whether it's \emph{predictable} to users, and whether it's expected to \emph{recur}. % The BUSL AUGs also seem to show (especially among database developers?) % a desire to prohibit direct competition with the original developer's % own business. A significant number of BUSL AUGs explicitly allow % commercial production use if it doesn't compete commercially with the % original developer. Are there particular stories about how this has % happened? Has it happened repeatedly? Is it something investors are % especially concerned about? \subsection{Bounty and Sponsorship Delays}\label{bounty} Another model is making individual software features or enhancements available to sponsors first, with a fixed time delay before making them available to the general public. An example of this is the North Road SLYR GIS software\footnote{See \otsurl{https://north-road.com/slyr/}.}, which has a published feature roadmap and releases (and licenses) its implementation of each feature to sponsors first: \begin{quote} While we fully intend to make the full SLYR plugin open source and freely publish the style/LYR/MXD conversion tools, we also require financial backing in order to support the significant time required to completely reverse engineer these file formats and develop quality tools supporting their use outside of the ESRI software ecosystem. Accordingly, the specifications and file parsing library will initially be closed source and available to SLYR license holders only. Exactly six months after we hit the pledged sponsorship levels for each stage of the project (check the progress below for each stage), we will open-source that component of the code and update the community version of the plugin. \end{quote} This strategy was also used by the OPSI project, which created a bounty-like ``co-funding" mechanism, which is still alluded to on the associated company's web site. Under this model, customers could sponsor the development of particular features, which would initially be available to sponsors and later to the public. However, this mechanism appears to have fallen out of use, as there are no recent co-funding opportunities, and the project currently appears to follow an open core model with paid subscriptions for proprietary extensions. \subsection{The Business Source License (BUSL)}\label{busl} The Business Source License (BUSL; sometimes ``BSL"\footnote{Most adopters of this license refer to it as ``BSL", but this acronym was previously used for the Boost Software License. The SPDX license identifier for the Business Source License is ``BUSL".}) was originally written in 2016 by MariaDB for its MaxScale project. The current version of BUSL, 1.1, was released in 2017 and first used for MaxScale 2.1.0.\footnote{See \otsurl{https://mariadb.com/resources/blog/releasing-bsl-1-1/}.} BUSL requires a licensor to specify a ``Change Date" and a ``Change License". MariaDB's Change Date for MaxScale is four years after the release of a specific version, and its Change License is GPLv2. % example: https://github.com/mariadb-corporation/MaxScale/blob/23.08/LICENSE2308.TXT The Linux Foundation noted (\otsurl{https://www.linuxfoundation.org/blog/how-open-source-foundations-protect-the-licensing-integrity-of-open-source-projects}) that several prominent projects switched away from open-source licenses from 2018 to 2023. Not all of these adopted DOSP licenses, but those that did so adopted BUSL. These included CockroachDB, Couchbase, Terraform, and ArangoDB. The most prominent of these BUSL adopters was HashiCorp, which wrote \begin{quote} BSL 1.1 is a source-available license that allows copying, modification, redistribution, non-commercial use, and commercial use under specific conditions. With this change we are following a path similar to other companies in recent years. These companies include Couchbase, Cockroach Labs, Sentry, and MariaDB, which developed this license in 2013. Companies including Confluent, MongoDB, Elastic, Redis Labs, and others have also adopted alternative licenses that include restrictions on commercial usage. In all these cases, the license enables the commercial sponsor to have more control around commercialization. \end{quote} This change applied to almost all of the company's software, including popular software like Terraform, Vagrant, and HashiCorp Vault. Although HashiCorp's license change attracted the most attention and commentary, it's interesting to note that BUSL was originally written by a database company and that the majority of the projects we've identified that relicensed under BUSL are database systems. Some of the project developers wrote that they wanted to discourage other companies from competing directly with the developers' hosted database services, and that they doubted whether an open source license would manage to accomplish this. It's also possible that there was a degree of ``social contagion" as database developers observed several of their peers relicensing away from open source at roughly the same time, either to BUSL or to other licenses that restrict licensees from operating commercial services. By default, BUSL prohibits uses in ``production" before the Change Date. Licensors using the bare BUSL would thus expect commercial adopters to pay for a separate license permitting commercial use. Howver, several licensors add an Additional Use Grant (AUG) under the BUSL to allow for ``production" uses other than those that are considered to compete with the developer's own commercial services. For example, ArcticDB provides the following Additional Use Grant\footnote{This same text is also used by several other projects, and we have not determined which project originated it. There are also other variants with similar effect.}: \begin{quote} You may make use of the Licensed Work under the terms of this License, provided that you may not use the Licensed Work for a Database Service. A ``Database Service" is a commercial offering that allows third parties (other than your employees and contractors) to access the functionality of the Licensed Work by creating tables whose schemas are controlled by such third parties. \end{quote} It appears that the project thus intends to immediately allow \emph{commercial} uses, including for public services, as long as these don't entail charging money for hosting databases in particular. Several other BUSL adopters have analogous grants. The AUG mechanism---including optional free-form text that exempts certain uses from BUSL's ``production use" restrictions---complicates direct comparison of uses of the BUSL; we have not yet devised a taxonomy for making these comparisons. % TODO We probably won't make such a taxonomy in this report, but we % should highlight this as a good next research question. % TODO Seth mentioned on 2023-11-07 that enforcement of the % requirement that an AUG can only grant extra permissions, not add % restrictions (for example, how some DB-project licensors narrow the % scope of competitive uses by saying that only commercial offering of % production database services counts as competitive use) is done % through *copyright* on the text of the license itself. This is % interesting; probably worth commenting on somewhere. % % While narrowing the restrictions to just prevention of competitive % use would be an AUG in the BUSL, in Sentry's draft FSL that's the % whole point of the license. % TODO Sort this table by date of BUSL adoption \begin{longtable}[l]{l l l l l} \textbf{Project} & \textbf{BUSL date} & \textbf{Change Date} & \textbf{Change License} & \textbf{Reference} \\ Akka & 2022-09-07 & rel. +3 years & Apache v2 & \otsurl{https://www.lightbend.com/blog/why-we-are-changing-the-license-for-akka} \\ ArangoDB & 2023-10-11 & rel. +4 years & Apache v2 & \otsurl{https://arangodb.com/2023/10/evolving-arangodbs-licensing-model-for-a-sustainable-future/} \\ ArcticDB & [always] & rel. +2 years & Apache v2 & [no ref] \\ % https://github.com/man-group/ArcticDB/blob/master/LICENSE.txt CockroachDB & 2019-06-04 & rel. +3 years & Apache v2 & \otsurl{https://www.cockroachlabs.com/docs/stable/licensing-faqs\#bsl} \\ CodeCov & 2023-08-02 & rel. +3 years & Apache v2 & \otsurl{https://about.codecov.io/blog/codecov-is-now-open-source/} \\ CouchBase & 2021-03-26 & rel. +4 years & Apache v2 & \otsurl{https://www.couchbase.com/blog/couchbase-adopts-bsl-license/} \\ DragonflyDB & 2022-05-29 & +5 years & Apache v2 & REF \\ % https://github.com/dragonflydb/dragonfly/blob/main/LICENSE.md evitaDB & [always] & 4th cal. year & Apache v2 & [no ref] \\ % https://github.com/FgForrest/evitaDB/blob/dev/LICENSE Materialize\footnote{Not to be confused with the Materialize CSS project, which is released under the MIT license.} & 2020-02-07 & daily +4 years\footnote{Differently from other BUSL-licensed projects, Materialize uses a bot to update the Change Date every day (not just on the occasion of release events), so that it always reflects a date exactly four years after the present date.} & Apache v2 & REF \\ MaxScale & 2017-02-14 & rel. +4 years & GPL v2 & \otsurl{https://mariadb.com/resources/blog/releasing-bsl-1-1/} \\ Memgraph & 2021-10-03 & rel. +4 years & Apache v2 & REF \\ % https://github.com/memgraph/memgraph/blob/master/licenses/BSL.txt ReadySet & 2022-08-03 & rel. +4 years & Apache v2 & REF \\ % https://github.com/readysettech/readyset/blob/main/LICENSE Sentry\footnote{Sentry subsequently relicensed under its own ``Functional Source License"; see below for further discussion.} & 2019-11-06 & rel. +3 years & Apache v2 & REF \\ SurrealDB & 2021-12-14 & rel. +4 years & Apache v2 & REF \\ % https://github.com/surrealdb/surrealdb/blob/main/LICENSE Terraform (etc.) & 2023-08-10 & rel. +4 years & MPL 2.0 & REF \\ % TODO Can have a list in a footnote ZeroTier & 2019-08-28 & 5th cal. year & Apache v2 & REF \\ \end{longtable} \subsection{Differences From Other Licensing Strategies}\label{differences} MariaDB describes some of these differences as follows:\footnote{The quotation is from \otsurl{https://mariadb.com/bsl-faq-mariadb/}.} \begin{quote} Q: How is the BSL different from Open Core? A: Open core offers some code under Open Source terms, but non-core code is not under Open Source terms, is not available in source form, cannot be modified and compiled, cannot be contributed to, and will never be Open Source. By using Open Core software, like with closed source code, you are locked to one vendor. With BSL, as compared to Open Core, the source code is available from the start, can be modified and compiled, contributions are encouraged, the product will become fully Open Source after a period of time and remains free for non-production use. The importance of the eventual Open Source is that users are free from vendor lock-in. If the vendor decides to stop contributing to the code, users have open access and can modify, update and extend as needed. Q: How is the BSL different from dual GPL/commercial licensing? A: When using dual licensing with GPL, companies must pay for a commercial license to use the software with their closed source code. With BSL, the companies are only paying for the software if they want to make production use of the software. From a vendor perspective, GPL dual licensing only works for infrastructure products that other companies want to deeply embed in their product. BSL works for any kind of software product. \end{quote} This is echoed in statements by several BUSL adopters that they sought a way to make downstream commercial users who did not redistribute derived works pay for the use of their software (typically in cloud environments), or wanted to prevent downstream commercial users from directly competing with the initial developer's own service offerings. \subsection{Consequences/Impacts?} Projects that change from an open-source license to a delayed open-source license have attracted criticism, with some people pledging to switch to other projects or even to maintain competitive forks of the prior open-source versions. The most consequential such effort appears to be OpenTofu, a fork of HashiCorp's Terraform announced soon after Terraform was relicensed under BUSL.\footnote{See \otsurl{https://opentofu.org/}.} OpenTofu has announced several corporate sponsorships, apparently plans to hire multiple full-time developers, and has organized itself as a project of the Linux Foundation. The fork's creators complained that the prior open source license of Terraform had encouraged people to develop professional expertise with the software and to use it as a part of their infrastructure. % One could say much more about this both in terms of commercial strategy % and also in terms of users' subjective feelings of betrayal. They also noted concerns about whether Terraform users could be confident about whether their individual uses were considered commercially competitive with HashiCorp. Most other forks of recently-relicensed software have not attracted the same levels of attention, participation, or adoption. % there's also a fork Vagrant -> Viagrunt, although OpenTofu got vastly % more support and activity % TODO Suggest further-research question It could be harder for projects under non-open-source terms to receive or accept outside contributions, both because people may be less motivated to make them and because the licensing status of the resulting contributions is more complicated. However, some projects that have switched to BUSL (or other licenses) continue to accept outside contributions subject to a contributor license agreement (``CLA"), which grants certain rights to the original developer. HashiCorp, for example, has a CLA for its projects\footnote{See, for example, \otsurl{https://cla.hashicorp.com/hashicorp/terraform}.}, and a bot that checks whether the authors of pull requests have signed it, so that their contributions will not be incorporated into the codebase until and unless they do so. The company does continue to receive some outside code contributions to its BUSL-licensed projects, including Terraform. % TODO: Has the rate measurably decreased? % TODO: E.g. compare hashicorp vs. non-hashicorp addresses for contributions % but note limitations of this method % Also did bugtracker activity change? % % TODO: Did they have this requirement before relicensing? Some open source % projects do have comparable CLAs for outside contributions to % become part of their official upstream code bases. It's not only a % BUSL/DOSP/proprietary licensing phenomenon. \subsection{Other} The Child Mind Institute uses its Delayed Open Source Attribution License (DOSA), which has a three-year period in which only noncommercial uses are permitted, for its MindLogger software. % https://github.com/ChildMindInstitute The Poké Classic Framework has a conditional license which limits uses of the code but which converts to AGPL if the original developer ceases to operate a service based on the code.\footnote{See \otsurl{https://github.com/mm201/pkmn-classic-framework}.} Roughly contemporaneously with MariaDB's development of BUSL, Ben Boyter proposed a ``GPL time bomb" (later renamed to simply ``eventually open") that is conceptually similar to BUSL with an AUG specifying a limited number of users within an organization.\footnote{See \otsurl{https://boyter.org/2016/08/gpl-time-bomb-interesting-approach-foss-licensing/}.} This approach was used for Boyter's ``searchcode-server" project\footnote{See \otsurl{https://www.searchcode.com/}.}, but no new development has taken place on this codebase since 2020, so the whole project is apparently now licensed under GPL v3. In November 2023, Sentry published its own ``Functional Source License" (FSL), at \otsurl{https://fsl.software/}, and relicensed its own previously BUSL-licensed software under it.\footnote{See Sentry's announcement and discussion at \otsurl{https://blog.sentry.io/introduction-the-functional-source-license-freedom-without-free-riding/}. Disclosure: % TODO: What is the right phrasing for the disclosure here? } The FSL prohibits, during a period of two years, uses of covered software to provide services that ``compete" with the original developer's commercial service offerings. Other uses are generally permitted. Following this two-year period, the software is licensed under MIT or Apache terms, without the competition restriction.\footnote{FSL exists in exactly two variants, one which converts to the MIT license after two years, and one which converts to the Apache 2.0 license after two years.} BUSL expressly permits certain parameters to be set by each individual adopter (including arbitrary free-form license text in AUGs, so long as that text grants additional permissions rather than removing them). Sentry disapproved of the resulting proliferation of variant terms and differently-phrased AUGs; it stated that, from the licensee's point of view, each BUSL instance is actually a substantively different license. Accordingly, the FSL roughly follows the BUSL's approach, while freezing a particular set of terms. Several cloud-oriented software projects that switched away from open source licensing in the past few years also adopted license terms with non-competition clauses. However, these generally were not time-limited. Conversely, several projects that adopted BUSL included AUGs that allow commercial uses so long as these aren't charging third parties for the service of hosting instances of the software, or so long as they don't otherwise compete with the original developer's own service offerings. The FSL codifies a version of this policy in the main license itself, rather than adding it as an optional additional permission. % TODO: double-check whether any of the others were time-limited % I think it's interesting that the AGPL doesn't seem to appeal to most % companies that are pursuing this kind of thing. I don't know if any of % them have commented on their views about it. % TODO (from Karl on 2023-11-07): It's worth raising the question of % why more companies don't just choose AGPL instead of resorting to % BUSL? E.g., https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=38162275 \numberedsection{Enforceability}\label{enforce} Delayed open source licensing is less explored than immediate open source licensing, and some observers have expressed concerns about its legal enforceability. For example, if an author died before the announced license transition date, would the author's heirs be required to honor the license transition, or could they potentially cancel or withdraw it? What if a company were acquired by a new owner which wanted to retroactively change its licensing structure? % XXX We obviously don't know yet because ... The Creative Commons research on springing licenses expressed some concerns about their enforceability. The Creative Commons organization itself previously implemented a delayed licensing mechanism called Founders Copyright; unlike other Creative Commons licenses, the Founders Copyright involves a copyright assignment to the Creative Commons nonprofit organization itself. The organization then commits to grant the original author an exclusive license to the for the announced delay period, and to license the work to the public afterward. It appears that this copyright assignment mechanism was intended to minimize uncertainty about the extent to which authors could bind themselves (or their successors) to future licensing intentions, although it required direct involvement by the nonprofit as copyright holder and licensor, a role it had otherwise not seen fit to take on. Kyle E. Mitchell distinguishes ``a present grant of a license" (with a specified future start date) from ``a contractual promise to grant the license later" and advocates using the former, although he does not imply that the latter is invalid or unenforceable. Mitchell's concerns focus on clarity and persistent documentation of specific license grants to specific code and project versions. \numberedsection{``Grace Period" Reciprocal Licensing}\label{grace} % TODO: This can go as a subsection of the "differences from % other licensing strategies" section? One licensing practice often described as related to DOSP is implemented in the Bootstrap Open Source License (BOSL), previously called the Transitive Grace Period Public License (TGPPL). This license was mainly devised by Zooko Wilcox-O'Hearn.\footnote{It implements a strategy previously proposed by Ted Ts'o, at \otsurl{https://thunk.org/tytso/TPL.html}.} % https://lists.opensource.org/pipermail/license-discuss_lists.opensource.org/2013-July/018428.html % TGPPL was submitted for OSI review in 2009 (!) but was never approved. % There are some discussions that seem to imply that people were reluctant % to approve it from nascent concerns over license proliferation and some % prudential concerns about whether this was the right approach to % relicensing. It is worth pointing out that the BOSL has no connection to the Bootstrap web framework project, which is under the MIT license. Both projects independently use the term ``bootstrap" to refer to the concept of bootstrapping. Instead of making an initially proprietary license grant that later transforms into an open-source license, the BOSL makes an initially permissive (BSD-style) license grant that later transforms into a reciprocal (GPL-style) license. This is intended to allow downstream code reuse in proprietary software projects, but only for a limited time, something Wilcox-O'Hearn characterized as a compromise between permissive and reciprocal open source licensing models.\footnote{See, for example, the presentation at \otsurl{https://tahoe-lafs.org/$\sim$zooko/tgppl.pdf}.} % TODO: Karl is working on getting a fully functioning tilde here. % % The problems with \textasciitilde are that it a) looks bad (too % high), and b) in the underlying URL (i.e., what you browse to if you % click on the URL in the text in the PDF) doesn't have a "~" there % but instead has the raw LaTeX code. I've tried playing around with % the definition of \otsurl in ots-doctools/latex/ots.sty, but so far % that hasn't led to a solution. % % Note that the wrong-URL problem also happens with the math-mode % "$\sim$" solution currently in place, but at least the tilde looks % good in the PDF. So that's something. % % I tried "\texttildelow" too (with "\usepackage{textcomp}" up in the % preamble), but that just errored -- even though the command is % well-documented on the Net. So there's another mystery. % % Some days you win, some days LaTeX wins. But really, most days % LaTeX wins. % % Still working on this. Since both the start and end-state licenses of the BOSL are themselves open source, we do not regard the BOSL as a form of delayed open-source publication as defined by this report. Rather, it seems to be an unconventional form of open source publication with time-varying open source terms. While the BOSL has not been approved by the Open Source Initiative, it appears to us to be compatible with the Open Source Definition, and --- unlike BUSL, for instance --- is claimed by its authors to be a form of open source licensing. One way to view the distinction between delayed open-source licensing and grace period reciprocal licensing is that the former aims to compromise between proprietary and open source licensing, where the latter aims to compromise between permissive and reciprocal licensing --- in both cases by modifying the license terms after a delay. \numberedsection{Other Terminology and Practices}\label{terminology} We've encountered a number of other terms that can describe DOSP or the licensing mechanisms used to implement it. \begin{itemize} \item Eventual (open) source; scheduled licensing. Lawrence Rosen's book on open source licensing refers to ``eventual source" or ``eventually open source" software, giving the example of Aladdin GhostScript. He also calls this ``scheduled licensing". \item Springing licenses. A research report from Creative Commons refers to ``springing licenses" (licenses that grant additional permissions after a period of time, or when some other condition has been met). Creative Commons was mainly interested in the possibility of developing licenses that would grant additional permissions over time, after a period of greater exclusivity. \item Scheduled relicensing. Kyle E. Mitchell refers to ``scheduled relicensing". \end{itemize} One can also distinguish between a public pledge to relicense on a schedule (as GhostScript did) and a license document whose text includes date or other restrictions. In the former case, the delayed release is implemented by human beings (actively making a new software release including new license text); in the latter case, it is automatic. We do not consider ``unplanned" open source releases to be examples of DOSP. There are a number of high-profile cases of proprietary projects that were retroactively relicensed as open source as a result of a one-off decision. Where developers originally had no announced plan or intention to do this, we think this is best considered a separate phenomenon, not a ``delayed" release. Many people also mentioned the custom among some video game developers of releasing code (though usually not assets such as graphics and sound) from proprietary video games that are no longer commercially important. This is a relatively widespread practice, with Wikipedia identifying dozens of instances.\footnote{Wikipedia lists these examples at \otsurl{https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List\_of\_commercial\_video\_games\_with\_later\_released\_source\_code}.} The released game code is most often licensed under an established open source license. Some companies like id Software have made such releases for multiple video game generations. While many of these developers apparently had a general intention to make their games open source, in whole or in part, at some point in the future, there was usually no public commitment to do so on any particular schedule or under any particular circumstances. This practice is thus not a core example of DOSP. A ``delayed open access" model, applied to research articles, has become popular for academic journals as a compromise between more restrictive journal licensing and open-access publishing.\footnote{See \otsurl{https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Delayed\_open-access\_journal}.} As of November 2023, Wikipedia identifies by name 108 journals that currently follow some form of this model, but cites a 2013 study that reportedly reviewed 492 journals with such a policy. In this context, journals may apply an ``embargo period" to create an incentive for some journal users to pay for subscriptions or article access in order to read recent research. The license terms applied at the expiration of these embargo periods permit the public to read articles at no charge, but may or may not be equivalent to open source licensing. \numberedsection{Future Research Questions}\label{future} \begin{itemize} \item DOSP versus AGPL licensing. The GNU Affero General Public License (AGPL) arguably aims to address some of the same concerns as the BUSL or the FSL --- particularly concerns about some forms of free-riding by downstream adopters. Instead of forbidding commercial (or competitive) uses, the AGPL imposes a copyleft-like requirement to publicly disclose and publicly license the source code of modifications, whenever those modifications are used to operate publicly-accessible services. The authors of this report have observed debates about the relative merits of the AGPL and BUSL. Interestingly, proponents of each license often agreed that both licenses might, in principle, address similar concerns about companies adopting an open source code base --- sometimes in direct competition with the original developer's services --- without rewarding its original developer either with money or with code contributions.\footnote{Critics of both licenses have similarly argued that it might be hard to tell exactly which activities related to online service provision are meant to be ``caught", in comparison to more permissive licenses.} However, the proponents didn't agree about which license better responds to this scenario. Did any BUSL adopters seriously consider adopting AGPL? If not, why not? If so, why did they end up preferring BUSL's approach? \item Relicensing after initial open source publication. Is it a conscious strategy --- or at least a conspicuous option --- to start out a new project under a purely open source license in order to garner interest and mindshare, and then subsequently relicense under a DOSP license? Some of HashiCorp's critics noted that the company had given adopters incentives to become expert in, or otherwise reliant upon, the company's software while it was under an open source license, and then tried to benefit from that familiarity and adoption by changing the license terms in the future. If some of the most popular DOSP-relicensed projects had started out under DOSP rather than open source terms from the outset, would they have attracted the same level of interest and adoption? \item Effects on outside contributions. How much are outside contributions affected by using (or switching to) a DOSP model rather than an open source license? Can any contribution trends be clearly and confidently attributed to relicensing? \item Why has a fork of Terraform attracted so many contributions and so much interest compared to forks of other projects? It's too early to say whether the OpenTofu project will broadly outcompete Terraform among various audiences, but it's clear that this fork started off with a bang, immediately garnering substantial interest, sponsorships and financial commitments, and endorsements from various companies and developers. However, open source forks of other HashiCorp projects are comparatively stagnant and underpublicized. Similarly, other BUSL relicensing events did not seem to result in highly active forks (although some may have increased interest in existing open source competitors to the relicensed projects). What's special about the OpenTofu effort, or about Terraform or its community, that could account for these differences? Did Terraform's market share in its niche play a large role? Was Terraform particularly indispensable for its users in comparison to some other relicensed projects? \end{itemize} \numberedsection{Sources and References}\label{sources} \begin{itemize} \item \otscite{Creative Commons Final Report: On the Viability and Development of Springing Licenses}\\ \otsurl{https://creativecommons.org/wp-content/uploads/2018/07/Springing-licenses-FINAL.pdf} % https://writing.kemitchell.com/2023/10/24/Scheduled-Relicensing \item \otscite{Wikipedia: List of Commercial Video Games With Later Released Source Code}\\ \otsurl{https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List\_of\_commercial\_video\_games\_with\_later\_released\_source\_code} \end{itemize} \numberedsection{Acknowledgements}\label{acknowledgements-sow} TBD % Two examples learned from https://blog.adamretter.org.uk/business-source-license-adoption/ \BLOCK{endblock}